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The $200/Mo High-Yield Race: One ETF Hits $500/Mo in 6 Years (Spoiler: Is it a Yield Trap?)



Investing  $200 monthly until you’ve deployed  $38,000  (190 months) into high-yield ETFs. Goal:  $500 in monthly dividends ASAP. No DRIP. Real tax math. ULTY joins the battle—but brings a nasty surprise.  


 Tax Assumptions :  

  • 32% federal tax bracket   
  •  SVOL : 27.9% effective tax (40% Section 1256 gains at 23% max)  
  •  QQQI/SPYI/ULTY : 32% ordinary income tax  (as per prospectus - No Section 1256)
  •  MST : 100% ROC (tax-deferred)  
  •  ULTY : 60% ROC + 40% ordinary income (after-tax = 87.2% of distribution)  


The Shockers :  

  •  MST "wins" in 6 years but is a yield trap  (100% ROC + 65% NAV crash).  
  •  ULTY takes 30.7 years —the longest due to slashed distributions post-weekly shift.  
  •  SVOL/QQQI delivers in 15–16 years with real income.  

 The Ugly Truth :  

  •     MST’s $127k "dividend" is your own capital, not profit. Your $38,000 investment would be worth approximately $13,300.  
  •     ULTY’s low yield  ($24k pre-tax) reflects its 2025 distribution cuts.  
  •     SVOL wins after tax  ($34k) due to 40% Section 1256 tax advantage.  

ULTY’s Tax Twist:

  • 60% ROC ($155) tax-deferred + 40% ($103) taxed at 32% → $225 after-tax.
  • ROC reduces your cost basis → future tax bomb.

The Verdict: Trade-Offs Exposed

  1. MST: The Speed Trap
    • Pros: Hits $500/month fastest (6 years).
    • Cons: 100% ROC cannibalizes your capital. NAV down 65% in 2024.
    • Verdict: Take your call
  2. SVOL: The Tax-Efficient Workhorse
    • Pros: $360 after-tax at $38k. 40% distributions taxed at max 23%.
    • Cons: Takes 15.8 years to hit $500/month.
    • Best for: Taxable accounts.
  3. ULTY: The Broken Dream
    • Pros: Minimal tax drag (87.2% after-tax cash).
    • Cons: Distribution cuts → 30.7 years to hit $500/month.
    • Verdict: Dead last.
  4. QQQI/SPYI: Middle Ground
      • QQQI: Faster than SPYI, but leverage decay kills NAV.
      • SPYI: Safer but lowest yield.
      • Best in: IRAs (avoid ordinary income tax). Please read the prospectus, FYI QQQI:  Page 20 (Section: "TAX CONSIDERATIONS"):"Distributions from the Fund derived from net investment income, including [...] derivative instruments in which the Fund invests, will generally be taxable as ordinary income."

    Bottom Line: Real Talk

  • Want $500/month FAST?
    MST delivers in 6 years—but you’re liquidating your own capital.
  • Want $500/month SMART?
    SVOL wins with $34,447 after-tax cash at $38k invested.
  • ULTY?
    A cautionary tale—distribution cuts and ROC make it the worst performer.

💰 Pro Tip: $200/month in SVOL hits $500/month in 15.8 years with tax efficiency. In ULTY? You’ll wait until 2054.

*Data: Simplify SVOL, NEOS QQQI/SPYI, Defiance MST, YieldMax ULTY distributions (2024-2025).*

Krishna’s Final Command to Arjuna

"Thus, I have explained to you this knowledge that is more secret than all secrets. Reflect on it fully and then do as you wish."
(Bhagavad Gita 18.63)

Disclaimer:

The content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Always research or consult a qualified advisor. Projections assume fixed prices/distributions. Past performance ≠ future results.


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